A stab in the back: Why an AfD victory in Saxony could pose a national security threat to Germany
For the first time in its history, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has a real chance of forming a regional government. On Sept. 6, voters in the eastern German state of Saxony-Anhalt will go to the polls, and experts are already describing scenarios in which the AfD would have enough votes to govern alone. In that case, the German political system’s “firewall” — the voluntary…
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has warned that a victory in Saxony could pose a potential security risk to Germany. While the regional government cannot directly influence Germany's foreign or defense policies, the AfD has expressed opposition to weapons deliveries to Ukraine and broader European rearmament. They advocate for a return to partnership with Russia.
Even if an AfD representative were to assume the role of premier in Magdeburg, they would be unable to alter Germany's current geopolitical stance. However, the Basic Law of Germany stipulates protective mechanisms in Article 37, allowing the federal government to enforce coercive measures if local authorities defy national decisions, and Article 85, which empowers the federal government to issue direct instructions to states.
If a European event triggers NATO's Article 5 mechanism, Germany's civilian authorities and military would initiate the Operational Plan for Germany (OPLAN DEU), which includes deploying troops and equipment. Saxony-Anhalt, situated between western Germany and Poland, is believed to have a vital role in these plans due to its strategic location and well-maintained infrastructure.
The AfD has frequently employed legal challenges to impede the government, using their presence in the Bundesrat to pressure both legislative and executive branches. Despite their unattainable demands, the AfD's actions could create delays in military operations and potentially undermine Germany's and NATO's defensive strategies.
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