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Hackers published a ‘Sberbank memo’ war-gaming eight endings to the war in Ukraine. One source in Russia’s financial market thinks a chatbot wrote it.

The hacker group Black Mirror has published screenshots of a purported Sberbank analytical memo that lists eight scenarios for ending the full-scale war between Russia and Ukraine. The document is dated April 2026, meaning it was prepared before Ukrainian forces stepped up strikes on oil refineries and logistics sites. According to the hackers, the memo came from correspondence between Sberbank…

Hackers published a ‘Sberbank memo’ war-gaming eight endings to the war in Ukraine. One source in Russia’s financial market thinks a chatbot wrote it.

Black Mirror, a hacker group, has released screenshots of what appears to be an Sberbank analytical memo outlining eight possible outcomes of the ongoing Russian-Ukrainian war. The document, dated April 2026, claims to be correspondence between Sberbank's board chairman, German Gref, and an anonymous correspondent.

The scenarios range from Russia achieving a decisive military victory over Ukraine, to a stalemate or "Korean freeze" where no formal peace agreement is reached. One scenario, "Exhaustion of the West," suggests Western support for Ukraine dwindles due to factors like a European energy crisis and a domestic political crisis in Ukraine. Another, "Trump's deal," posits a freeze in the conflict and partial sanctions relief, with U.S. President Donald Trump pushing for a resolution before the 2026 midterm elections.

The memo also contemplates a "cyprusization" of Ukraine, where Russia controls certain regions and Western countries like the European Union do not recognize the new borders. A final scenario, "Korean freeze," posits a conflict that continues without resolution, with both sides rearming and the front line stabilizing.

However, the authenticity of the document is unverified, and Sberbank has not commented on the leak. A source in Russia's financial sector, though, suspects the material was generated by an AI chatbot, supported by an AI-detection service that found 83% of the English-language text to be machine-generated.

Written by urgent.news from Meduza (English)'s reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

Read the original at meduza.io →

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