미국-이란 전쟁의 나비효과, 한반도에 행운일까 [뉴스룸에서]

On August 8th last month, former US President Donald Trump arrived at Ankara Airport in Turkey. His first act upon stepping off the private aircraft was to exit through the rear door. There, container trucks awaited to transport his meal. They were then loaded onto a US military C-32A transport plane, which carried him to the UK.

This "container secret return operation" by a US president was only revealed a year later in a Washington Post exclusive report. The incident was prompted by concerns over an assassination threat from Iran. Trump had declared several victories in the war and agreed to discuss an end to it with Iran in mid-June. However, the war did not end and the president was left unable to fly personal aircraft.

This situation symbolically illustrated the failure to find a solution to the conflict. The reasons for the war's entanglement are numerous, but the most notable is the lack of systematic preparation and hasty decisions at the start of the conflict. This decision to start the war against a country with a 2,000-year history was disastrous.

The US, having expended its missile defense network, shifted its focus to strengthening economic sanctions against Iran. Iran, after enduring months of bombardment, now boasts a sense of pride and expects to control the strategic Hormuz Strait, which accounts for 20% of global oil tanker traffic. The US president, seeking to redeem himself and achieve quick diplomatic results, has now turned his attention to North Korea, pushing for a summit with Kim Jong-un.

The core reason for the failed Iran war is its hasty, unplanned decisions. The US government and military were unaware of the sudden reduction in joint military exercises with South Korea and welcomed this change, while the Trump administration's actions suggest it may prove difficult to turn this 'face' into an asset.