Mobilization Is Not Immediate: How Russia Could Reinforce Its Forces on the Front

A potential new mobilization in Russia could bolster the numerical strength of its forces on the battlefield, according to military expert Pavlo Lakiychuk. However, this does not mean that all mobilized personnel would immediately deploy to the front, Lakiychuk explained on the FREEДОМ television channel. The expert emphasized that Russia's numerical advantage could enable the country to replenish battlefield losses and establish operational and strategic reserves.

Lakiychuk suggested that this development could trigger new offensives in the south and east, or alternatively, extend the front line. The crucial aspect is that the mobilization process does not operate instantaneously; it takes time to produce tangible results. If Russia initiates mobilization on October 1, for example, it might attain peak capabilities by the end of December or early February.

Lakiychuk also did not dismiss the possibility of Russia seeking additional military aid from North Korea or attempting to seize control of the Belarusian army. If Russia managed to take control of the Belarusian army, it could gain an extra 40,000 to 60,000 troops, providing the Russian military machine with an additional month and a half of operational time.

Lakiychuk forecasts that hostilities could intensify in December. However, if Russia is unable to replenish units currently engaged in combat, their offensive might gradually weaken. Furthermore, Lakiychuk noted that Russia currently lacks the ability to offset battlefield losses, implying that significant gains by Russian occupying forces should not be anticipated in the near future.