Datafolha Puts Lula Six Points Ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro
Datafolha's latest poll puts Lula at 39% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 33% in the first round, with a narrow runoff lead. The post Datafolha Puts Lula Six Points Ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro appeared first on The Rio Times .
Datafolha, the polling institute of newspaper Folha de S. Paulo, has released a survey indicating Lula is six points ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro in Brazil's upcoming presidential election. Conducted between August 18 and 19, 2026, the poll interviewed 2,058 voters aged 16 and over, with a margin of error of 2 points. Lula received 39% support, while Bolsonaro garnered 33%, resulting in a six-point lead.
This lead is reliable, as it falls outside the margin of error. Other candidates, Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema, trailed significantly, securing 5%, 4%, and 3% respectively. In a potential runoff against Bolsonaro, Lula leads 47% to 43%, but the 4-point gap is also within the margin of error, making it not a decisive advantage.
Approval of the government stands at 47%, while disapproval is at 50%, suggesting a divided electorate. The election is scheduled for October 2026, with the possibility of a runoff between the top two candidates if no candidate secures over 50% in the first round.
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