Victorian polls have Coalition leading Labor by narrow to large margins
About three months out from the Victorian state election, the five polls released since the state got a new premier all show the Coalition in front.
Victoria's state election is three months away on November 28th. Since Labor leader Ben Carroll replaced Jacinta Allan in July, five polls have been released. In four out of five polls, the Coalition leads Labor by a narrow margin, ranging from 51-49 to 57-43. One Nation has dropped from previous editions of these polls, but their low representation allows the Coalition to win a majority of the 88 lower house seats.
The Coalition and Labor are the leaders on primary votes, making the election resemble a standard two-party contest. Jane Carroll's net approval is significantly better than her predecessor Jacinta Allan's, but she still has a negative rating except in Morgan. Labor has governed Victoria for the last 12 years, and there's a potential "it's time" factor. The Resolve poll shows that the Coalition has a 53-47 lead over Labor when considering respondent preferences.
In the Queensland state Resolve poll, the Liberal National Party (LNP) leads Labor with a 55-45 advantage. One Nation has dropped from 20% to 20%, and the Greens remain steady at 10%. Both the LNP and Labor have higher net likeability ratings than their respective leaders. In the Western Australian byelection for Secret Harbour, former Labor MP Paul Papalia is set to contest the seat after resigning in July. Labor holds a 53-47 two-party lead in the state, down from 57-43 in the 2025 election.
Written by urgent.news from The Conversation AU's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
