US Dollar: Treasury twist signals structural risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes the US Dollar remains under pressure as EUR/USD trades around 1.17 following the US Treasury’s expansion of its Liquidity Support Buyback Operations.
The US dollar continues to face downward pressure as the US Treasury expands its Liquidity Support Buyback Operations, according to Commerzbank's Volkmar Baur. This move is reminiscent of Operation Twist, executed in 2011-2012 when the Federal Reserve swapped short-term bonds for long-term bonds to lower long-term interest rates.
The Treasury's current actions suggest a willingness to tolerate a weaker dollar to keep interest rates low, indicating a structural risk for the US dollar. While the impact on long-term yields is expected to be modest, the decision highlights the Treasury's preference for a weaker US dollar over higher interest rates.
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