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CNA Explains: Why is Trump pushing to meet Kim Jong Un again?

US President Donald Trump scaled back joint military exercises with key ally South Korea this week, while signalling plans to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later this year.

CNA Explains: Why is Trump pushing to meet Kim Jong Un again?

During this week, US President Donald Trump reduced joint military exercises with South Korea, while at the same time hinting at a potential meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later in the year.

Prior to the start of South Korea and the United States' annual joint military drills, the "Ulchi Freedom Shield" exercises - aimed at enhancing the allies' capability to counter North Korea's evolving military power - were reduced from 11 days to five. Trump claimed his "very good relationship" with Kim as well as South Korea's reluctance to support the US in its conflict with Iran were reasons for the scaled-back drills.

North Korea has historically requested an end to these drills, but has shown minimal interest in Trump's overture. Trump's intention to meet Kim again was reaffirmed, suggesting an upcoming summit later this year. North Korea has persistently demanded the cessation of these exercises, yet has demonstrated little enthusiasm for Trump's approach.

The scaling down of the drills could be seen as a tactic used by Trump as a negotiation chip. What exactly does he hope to gain from Pyongyang and does North Korea require another summit with US President Trump?

The justification for scaling back the drills was attributed to South Korea's refusal to assist the US in its conflict with Iran. South Korean Foreign Minister Cho Hyun stated that Trump was attempting to put pressure on Seoul over several issues, including its investments in the US. However, analysts argue that there might be more strategic motives behind Trump's decision.

A renewed outreach towards North Korea could serve as a political win for Trump, especially considering his efforts to resolve the Iran conflict have been unsuccessful. Dr Nah Liang Tuang, a research fellow at S Rajaratnam School of International Studies, believes that Trump is attempting to create an opening for diplomacy with North Korea to ensure a foreign policy success before the November mid-term elections.

This move echoes Trump's actions during his first term. After the first summit with Kim, Trump suspended major US-South Korea military exercises, citing them as unnecessary and provocative - reasons similar to the current situation. North Korea has consistently demanded an end to these drills, which they perceive as preparations for an invasion.

Another possible reason behind Trump's move could be to divert North Korea's focus away from Russia, whose President, Vladimir Putin, has developed closer military ties with North Korea since Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. Dr Victor Cha, Korea Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, suggests that Trump might also be trying to change the political narrative by shifting attention from Iran to North Korea.

South Korean President Lee Jae Myung had proposed talks with North Korea to replace the Korean War armistice with a formal peace accord, aiming to reduce tensions and open dialogue with Pyongyang. This aligns with both Trump and Lee's interests in improving relations with North Korea and reducing tensions. However, it should be noted that South Korea communicated the decision to scale back the joint drills independently to the US, and was not informed in advance.

Written by urgent.news from Channel News Asia's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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