Abandoning GRS a high-risk move for KDM, say analysts

Analysts warn KDM that withdrawing support for the Sabah coalition, GRS, could prove to be a high-risk move. Priscella Peter, KDM's leader, will face significant challenges regardless of whether she maintains or discontinues her partnership with GRS. While the party would have more freedom to select contesting areas in future elections, it would also forfeit the benefits of being an associate in the government.

Currently, KDM holds only one parliamentary and one state seat, leaving it with limited political influence. With the upcoming general election (GE16) on the horizon, the party's bargaining power will be minimal should it continue to support GRS. Six GRS component parties will vie for 25 Sabah parliamentary seats during GE16, particularly in Kadazandusun Murut constituencies, where KDM is also pursuing.

KDM's chances of being overlooked are high since it has never been part of the coalition before. If the party remains allied with GRS, it will have to accept that component parties will receive priority in seat allocations, potentially denying KDM the opportunity to contest in key areas like Tenom, Kota Marudu, Kudat, Tuaran, and Keningau.

KDM's deputy president, Wetrom Bahanda, is linked to speculation about a move to Barisan Nasional, currently backing an alliance with Warisan and STAR for GE16. However, GRS secretary-general Armizan Mohd Ali stated that KDM's sole assemblyman, Rusdin Riman, plans to continue supporting the state government despite his party's decision.

Analysts predict KDM's move will likely backfire, stripping the party of valuable state patronage, resources, and administrative power, potentially causing public embarrassment and internal friction.