Sara Duterte’s 2028 prospects: Still the frontrunner, but no longer invulnerable

The 2028 Philippine presidential race is already taking shape, with Vice President Sara Duterte emerging as the frontrunner in the polls. However, her prospects are not without challenges, as an ongoing impeachment trial has cast a shadow over her potential candidacy. Duterte, daughter of the former president Rodrigo Duterte and mayor of Davao City, boasts a strong base of support, a well-known family name, and the ability to mobilize voters.

Yet, the Senate trial is still in progress, raising questions about her financial dealings, public conduct, and political judgment. While an acquittal could allow her to run as a survivor, a conviction could lead to her removal from office and disqualification from future public service. Polls indicate that Duterte remains the strongest candidate, but the 2028 race is still far from being decided, with many other potential contenders yet to emerge and alliances yet to solidify.