Euro trims losses against the British Pound following hot German inflation data
The Euro (EUR) has picked up from session lows against the British Pound (GBP) on Wednesday as hot German inflation figures have partially offset a mild risk-off sentiment, amid flaring tensions in the Middle East.
The Euro regained some of its losses against the British Pound on Wednesday as German inflation data surprised to the upside. The EUR/GBP pair climbed above 0.8540, but still struggled to break the previous week's high of 0.8580. In July, Germany's Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) rose to 2.8% year-over-year, up from 2.4% in June, primarily due to energy inflation climbing to 7.3% from 2.7% in June.
Meanwhile, the British Pound showed resilience as tensions in the Middle East continued to escalate. Iran-backed Houthi militants attacked an Egyptian vessel in the Red Sea, resulting in casualties. Additionally, the US Army engaged in a skirmish with a Panama-flagged cargo ship trying to breach the Iranian port blockade, further impacting oil prices.
The Brent Oil barrel surpassed $88.00, a 13% increase from last week's high, contributing to inflationary pressures across Eurozone economies. With the UK market closed on Wednesday, investors focused on the upcoming second-quarter GDP release, due Thursday, for insights into the Bank of England's near-term monetary policy. Analysts from Brown Brothers Harriman expect "real GDP to rise 0.4% q/q vs. 0.6% in Q1," while the BoE anticipates a softer print of "0.3% q/q as lower household real income growth and tighter financial conditions weigh on domestic demand activity."
The BoE also forecasts "consumption growth to ease to 0.3% q/q in Q2 vs. 0.6% in Q1." Brown Brothers Harriman warns that the Bank of England's future rate decisions may become more dovish without a GDP beat.
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