Why gangs on the loose threaten credibility of next year’s elections

As Kenya prepares to elect its leaders in August 2027, security agencies, researchers and political observers are sounding the alarm over the rise of organised gangs that could jeopardise the credibility of the polls. These gangs, composed of young men, have been employed to carry out disruptive activities at political rallies and public gatherings, often receiving minimal payments for their services.

The recruitment process typically begins with a simple phone call or WhatsApp message, quickly mobilising groups from estates and informal settlements. Once deployed, these gangs can be used to swell crowds, intimidate opponents, and trigger confrontations, with payments distributed discreetly after the mission. The anonymity and fluid nature of these networks make it difficult to track those responsible, allowing financiers to remain shielded while violence is carried out.

Experts warn that the ease with which these groups can be mobilised poses a significant threat to the upcoming elections, potentially shifting the focus from hate speech to the use of fear to influence political participation. Researchers project an 84.1% probability of electoral violence during the 2027 General Election, highlighting the growing concern over the impact of these organized networks on Kenya's democratic process.