Federal Reserve: September hike odds reassessed – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Bas van Geffen comments that weaker United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and a drop in labour supply have reduced urgency for another Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike, though policy remains data‑dependent.
The prospects of U.S. cryptocurrency legislation, the Clarity Act, are fading, despite Senate Republicans' commitment to advance the bill upon their return from recess. The bill, which aims to establish a regulatory framework for digital assets, has been met with opposition from key Democrats and other critics who argue it lacks stringent anti-money laundering and ethics safeguards.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune, a Republican, pushed for a procedural vote to bring the bill to the Senate floor in September, rather than August, due to the Senate's busy schedule and the upcoming November elections. However, many analysts and lobbyists remain skeptical about the bill's chances, citing the crowded legislative calendar and the Democrats' potential regaining of the House majority as significant hurdles.
The bill's fate will likely hinge on a cloture vote on September 15, which requires 60 votes, and the subsequent debate and amendments process. While some in the crypto industry remain hopeful, the bill's path forward remains uncertain.
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