Canadian Dollar: Gains hinge on 1.3970 against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is effectively flat versus the US Dollar (USD) but modestly outperforming other majors, trading close to their fair value estimate around 1.40.
Scotiabank analysts Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is currently trading at a near fair value estimate of 1.40 against the US Dollar (USD), essentially holding steady versus the greenback. With limited CAD-specific news, USD/CAD remains largely influenced by external factors, with the US/Canada spreads showing stabilization.
Technical analysis suggests a USD-bearish stance, focusing on a potential break below 1.3970/80 and a fading rally towards the 1.41 level. The CAD's current performance against other major currencies is modestly outperforming due to favorable external developments. While trade concerns persist as a background issue ahead of President Trump's upcoming tariff announcement deadline, the CAD appears to be where it should be based on the fair value estimate.
To propel further gains, the CAD must successfully break the 1.3970/80 level, previously acting as high and retracement support.
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