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Democrats lack a leader right now — and might not get one until 2028

You're probably about 550 days from Democrats having a true leader who can show and shape the party's direction. Why it matters: Until Super Tuesday — that's March 7, 2028 — or well beyond, Democrats will be leaderless, rudderless and likely split between rising socialist energy and more traditional, establishment liberalism. DNC Chair Ken Martin will likely get ousted and leave behind a hot…

Democrats lack a leader right now — and might not get one until 2028

The Democratic Party currently finds itself in a state of disarray, lacking a clear leader to guide its direction. This lack of leadership is expected to persist until Super Tuesday on March 7, 2028, or potentially even beyond. During this period, Democrats will be leaderless and potentially divided between rising socialist sentiments and more traditional, establishment liberalism.

While DNC Chair Ken Martin may be replaced, he will leave behind a financial mess and a chaotic party. Hakeem Jeffries has a realistic chance of rising to the position of Speaker, but he will lack the necessary majority and ambition to lead effectively. Chuck Schumer appears to be tired and may face challenges for the top leadership position. Furthermore, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) running for Schumer's Senate seat could further complicate his future as party leader.

Barack Obama remains the only Democratic figure with significant national influence, but he has indicated that he prefers to work behind the scenes. This leaves Bernie Sanders as the most powerful kingmaker for the 2028 election, given his extensive network and sustained popularity. AOC is seen as having the advantage in this scenario.

Despite the current challenges, Democrats are optimistic about their prospects in the 2028 election. They anticipate a more favorable Senate map and are confident that voters will want to move beyond the drama surrounding former President Donald Trump. A notable statistic highlights that 17 out of 22 presidents since Theodore Roosevelt have taken office with full control of the government.

This suggests that recent Republicans, excluding Trump, have been the exceptions to this trend, with Presidents Nixon, Ford, Reagan, and both Bushes.

The political landscape is volatile, with more regulatory and policy uncertainty than ever before. This volatility may lead to an increased likelihood of socialism among Democrats and sustained Trumpism among Republicans. It is essential to monitor the 2028 Senate map, as it is projected to be the best in a decade for Democrats. Republicans hold 19 of the 34 Senate seats up for election, including key states such as Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Ohio.

Written by urgent.news from Axios's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — it may contain errors, so check the original before relying on it.

Read the original at axios.com →

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