No formula can force Putin into peace, and he will not negotiate in good faith – ex-defense minister

Former Ukrainian Defense Minister Andriy Zahorodniuk explained why Russian President Vladimir Putin can no longer de-escalate the ongoing conflict and why he refuses to engage in genuine peace negotiations. During multilateral talks in Abu Dhabi, the Russian delegation reportedly presented demands for a new European security order, including the withdrawal of Finland from NATO and the restriction of military bases in the Baltic states.

Zahorodniuk stated that Putin's confidence stems from his unwillingness to end the war and his attempts to influence European security architecture. He emphasized that Russia aims to dismantle NATO and discredit it, objectives that have existed for a long time. The former defense minister also highlighted that Russia's recent successes have not changed Putin's stance on peace negotiations, as he remains unwilling to engage in genuine discussions aimed at de-escalation.

The interviewer noted that Europe may have a cynical view, believing Ukraine must continue fighting to avoid major problems for the continent. However, Zahorodniuk dismissed this notion, explaining that Europe has no intention of Ukraine losing the war and that the consequences of a Ukrainian defeat would be catastrophic for Europe.

He reiterated that Europe will continue supporting Ukraine but cannot guarantee victory due to a lack of resources and the time required for strategic decision-making. Lastly, Zahorodniuk discussed the Kremlin's reaction to strikes against Russia's energy sector, stating that the effectiveness of such actions in forcing peace is uncertain and unpredictable.