What's Wrong With Amazon.com (AMZN) Stock, and Is It a Buy in November?
Amazon has a few issues to keep in mind, but it's still growing briskly.
Amazon stock (AMZN) has experienced steady growth over the years, with a consistent average annual gain of 4% over the last 15 years and a more impressive 22% over the past decade. However, in the past year, its growth rate has slowed to a more modest 9%. Despite this, Amazon's long-term average annual gain for the stock market stands at close to 10%, making Amazon's 9% gain quite respectable.
It's also worth noting that sustaining annual gains above 20% becomes increasingly challenging, particularly for a company of Amazon's size, which is valued at nearly $3 trillion.
While natural fluctuations are common in stock prices, Amazon's recent performance shows promise. Its third quarter reported a year-over-year revenue increase of 12% and the highest operating profit margin in its history, currently at 13.9%. Additionally, Amazon Web Services (AWS), its cloud computing platform, is a significant driver of growth, with CEO Andy Jassy projecting its value to reach $1 trillion.
However, there are some concerns worth mentioning. E-commerce growth is slowing, and the company is investing heavily in capital expenditures, such as its artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives. Shrinking free cash flow and a substantial debt load of $173 billion have also raised some investor concerns.
Despite these challenges, I believe Amazon remains a buy for long-term investors due to its strong performance and reasonable valuation. The company's AWS revenue grew by 39% year-over-year, and its forward-looking price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25 is below its five-year average of 38. The Stock Advisor team has identified Amazon as one of the 10 best stocks for investors to buy right now, with a total average return of 850% compared to the S&P 500's 210% over the same period.
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