Mary Peltola’s Path to Winning Alaska Senate Race Outright
Peltola needs at least 50 percent +1 to avoid ranked-choice tabulation. Most remaining ballots are from districts favoring her.
Mary Peltola, the Democrat running for Alaska’s U.S. Senate seat, is on the verge of securing a victory in the tight contest without the need for ranked-choice tabulation. At the moment, with 88 percent of votes counted, Peltola leads with 125,157—49.2 percent—of all votes, while incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan trails with 119,357—47 percent—of all votes.
Gerald Heikes, a Republican candidate, holds 5,490—2.2 percent—of all votes, and Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., a retired teacher, has 4,199—1.7 percent—of all votes. To win outright and dodge the potential for ranked-choice tabulation, Peltola would need around 56 percent—or 19,445 first preferences—of the remaining 35,000 votes. Most outstanding ballots are coming from districts that favor Peltola, while Sullivan’s strongest areas have already been counted.
If incoming ballots tilt Peltola’s way, she will win the race outright by November 25, the state’s target date for certifying the result.
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