Android numbers may surpass humans by 2083, says study
The study examined over 4,000 scenarios, including forecasts of one billion humanoid robots by 2050 and androids outnumbering humans by 2083.
In a recent study, researchers from the University of Milan, the University of Exeter, and The Rockefeller University predict that humanoid robots could surpass the global human population by the 2080s, reaching numbers of over 10 billion. The analysis, published in RealClearScience, assumes adequate power supplies and autonomous android-mediated production. Currently, there are approximately 10,000 humanoid robots worldwide, which may be utilized in factories, warehouses, households, and caregiving roles.
The United Nations projects that the global human population will peak at around 10.3 billion in the mid-2080s, after which it will begin a gradual decline. The study considers over 4,000 possible combinations of factors, based on market forecasts indicating that more than 1 billion humanoid robots will exist by 2050. Without the capability for android-mediated production, the robot population is estimated to reach around 4 billion by 2100, which would still be below the projected human population of approximately 10.2 billion.
The researchers emphasize that the numerical crossover of robots to humans should not be interpreted as social, political, or economic dominance. They note that the transition may be as significant as simply counting the machines themselves.
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