Trump Says No Iran Deal: 5 Scenarios for What Happens Next
Donald Trump says he doesn't need a deal with Iran, and pulled JD Vance away from diplomacy. How will things unfold from here?
After nine months of conflict, President Donald Trump has declared a deal with Iran unnecessary. He wrote on Truth Social that "we don’t need a deal with Iran. Those days have long since passed." However, Trump's statements have a short shelf life and could change. The post also urged Vice President JD Vance to focus on alleged corruption in Democratic-run states.
There are several possible scenarios for what happens next. Trump could opt for a quiet trade of reciprocal steps, with Iran easing attacks on shipping and the U.S. easing enforcement. Alternatively, the U.S. could extend economic pressure on Iran, hoping it will eventually lead to a deal.
Iran, militarily, is effectively over, but it is determined to avoid both war and peace. It has threatened Europe and plotted against U.S. officials. The U.S. has hit air-defense sites on Iran's Qeshm Island, and Iran has threatened retaliation. The situation appears to be a calibrated form of escalation, with both sides responding to attacks by limited actions branded as self-defense.
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