Ruto, Sifuna tie in latest presidential opinion poll

NAIROBI, Kenya, Nov 11 - Senator Edwin Sifuna is currently leading President William Ruto in several regions in the race to be the preferred candidate for the 2027 presidential election, according to a new TIFA Research opinion poll. The Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) can officially declare a candidate the President-elect only if they secure more than 50 percent of the votes cast and at least 25 percent in more than half of Kenya's 47 counties.

The November 2026 survey indicates Sifuna's strongest support base is in Western Kenya, where he commands 55 percent support compared to Ruto's 25 percent. In Nairobi, Sifuna leads with 39 percent against Ruto's 13 percent, and in the Coast region, he has 36 percent support while Ruto maintains 40 percent. Sifuna also leads in South Rift with 33 percent to Ruto's 29 percent, while the two are closely matched in Mt Kenya, with Sifuna at 32 percent and Ruto at 11 percent.

In Nyanza, Sifuna holds 31 percent support compared to Ruto's 35 percent, and in the Central Rift, Ruto leads with 59 percent against Sifuna's 16 percent. Ruto maintains a strong lead in Northern Kenya, with 62 percent support versus Sifuna's 20 percent. Wiper party leader Kalonzo Musyoka has the highest regional support in Lower Eastern, with 55 percent against Ruto's 20 percent and Sifuna's 8 percent.