The electoral map: What do the polls say in each province?
We simulated the elections 20,000 times using EL PAÍS's classic model: there are 150 seats almost decided and another 150 likely, but around a hundred are still up in the air. Check them one by one.
EL PAÍS has been publishing an electoral model for a decade, which predicts votes and seats in each province and assigns probabilities. The model is being used to forecast the outcome of the upcoming election on 29N. The predictions are based on polls published up to November 9. The model provides estimates of votes and seats in each province.
Written by urgent.news from El Pais's report — not a translation of it. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
