Third time’s the charm? What US-mediated Russia-Ukraine talks could yield, the role India can play

The three-way US-mediated peace talks between Ukraine, Russia, and NATO, scheduled for November 10 in Abu Dhabi, aim to wrap up the five-year-long war. These negotiations will focus on territory, post-war security guarantees, and Europe's future security architecture. Russia remains resolute in its demand that Europe not attend the talks, despite the Trump administration suggesting a new European security framework.

The key issue remains Ukraine's refusal to cede any territory, particularly Donbas, which Russia has claimed as its own. Ukraine has demanded security guarantees, such as NATO membership, to protect against potential future Russian aggression. The European Union and NATO are also wary of limiting Ukraine's future security choices, fearing that a settlement could compromise their own security.

Meanwhile, the US midterm elections have altered the political landscape, with Democrats gaining control of Congress. This shift could lead to increased military aid for Ukraine and more stringent sanctions against Russia. However, it remains uncertain how these changes might impact the ongoing negotiations. India has not been directly mentioned in the wire material, but its role as a potential mediator between India and Russia could be significant, given its strategic position and historical relationship with both nations.