SONDAGE EXCLUSIF 2027. Christine Lagarde “bien accueillie” par les électeurs du centre

A recent exclusive poll conducted by Cluster 17 reveals that Christine Lagarde, the former president of the European Central Bank (ECB), is viewed positively by voters in the center. Lagarde, who is set to retire from her ECB post on February 7, 2027, has not publicly expressed her intention to run for president in the same year.

In September, she even ruled out the possibility in two interviews with French media, stating that it would not be a good idea and that the position requires sacrifice and a different kind of energy. Lagarde has instead expressed a desire to regain her freedom of speech and action on issues beyond monetary policy.

Despite her previous statements, some in the political, economic, and media realms are still hoping to see Lagarde run for president to bolster a struggling central camp. The poll suggests that she would perform just as well as, if not better than, President of Horizon Edouard Philippe, with 14% of the vote. Lagarde would garner 55% of liberal and centrist voters, 59% of moderates, and 23% of other voters, according to the poll's classification system.

This outcome could slightly favor the Socialiste and Place publique Raphael Glucksmann candidates, according to Jean-Yves Dormagen, president of Cluster 17.

The poll, conducted through an online questionnaire between November 9 and 10, 2026, with 1,164 respondents, tested the hypothetical scenario of Lagarde running as an alternative to Philippe. It also considered other potential candidates, including Edouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Natacha Polony, David Lisnard, and Teddy Riner. However, the poll suggests that Lagarde would be statistically equal to Philippe in this scenario, while Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon remain significantly ahead in the polls, with 27% and 19% of the vote, respectively.

Overall, the poll highlights the lack of a clear leader in the center and the absence of a strategic voting logic among voters.