Political Intelligence Group Revises 2027 Election Projection After Court Ruling on ADC Leadership
Funmi Ogundare The Political Intelligence Group (PIG) has revised its November 2026 projection of the 2027 presidential election following a Federal High Court ruling in Abuja nullifying the leadership of
The Political Intelligence Group (PIG) has modified its November 2026 projection for the 2027 presidential election in response to a Federal High Court ruling in Abuja that nullified the leadership of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), headed by former Senate President David Mark. The court's decision invalidated ADC's actions, including the party's May 25 presidential primary which selected Atiku Abubakar as its candidate.
This ruling could significantly impact political calculations leading up to the 2027 general election.
Speaking to a statement, the Chairman of PIG, Lai Omotola, disclosed that the need to adjust their projection became imperative, specifically regarding Atiku Abubakar's position in the presidential race. Following the court ruling, Omotola revealed that their revised projection suggests a larger advantage for Tinubu, particularly in the north.
He stated, “Such a development could influence voting considerations among the northern electorate, with some voters potentially preferring Tinubu to serve another four-year term rather than face an eight-year presidency under Obi.” However, Omotola emphasized that this revised projection is contingent on the outcome of the appeal expected from the ADC.
He added that the December edition of their publication would offer a more comprehensive assessment of the political implications of the ruling and its potential impact on the 2027 presidential contest.
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