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Ukraine Peace Talks Face an Uphill Battle as Winter Approaches

After fading into the background when the war with Iran began, the US diplomatic push to end Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is intensifying again, with the first US-Ukraine-Russia talks since February scheduled for November 10-11 in Abu Dhabi. On the eve of the talks, US President Donald Trump said on the CBS program 60 Minutes that he believes “we’re very close to a deal” and that the war is…

Ukraine peace talks are facing significant challenges as winter approaches, with President Donald Trump expressing optimism about the upcoming negotiations in Abu Dhabi. The first US-Ukraine-Russia talks since February are scheduled for November 10-11, but experts warn of low expectations for a breakthrough. One major hurdle is Russia's refusal to agree to a cease-fire, even if it would end the war.

The Kremlin insists that Russia's control over the Donbas region is a prerequisite for any peace deal, and Ukraine has no intention of ceding the territory it has defended. Additionally, Trump's recent call for a "big, beautiful agreement" that involves more than just Ukraine has raised concerns in Europe about the potential for a broader European security architecture. This could undermine smaller steps toward peace and make the talks more complex.

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