Anthropic IPO: Here's What Betting Markets Are Predicting After the AI Correction
Key PointsPrevious reports speculated that Anthropic would seek a $2 trillion valuation.
As AI stocks plummeted following the U.S. election, investors grew increasingly wary of Anthropic's potential IPO, prompting a dramatic shift in betting markets' predictions. In the days leading up to the election, Kalshi betting markets projected an 87% chance of Anthropic going public in 2026. However, the subsequent market correction saw odds drop to 64%, with a low point of 53% before rebounding to around 85% by the end of the day.
The volatility stems from the broader decline in AI company valuations, making potential investors more cautious. Experts anticipate a valuation between $1.2 trillion and $1.3 trillion, though some predict a more conservative estimate of $1.1 trillion. Despite the uncertainty, betting markets appear confident in Anthropic's IPO timing, suggesting the company remains on track to go public this year.
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