Israel Pick Sends Netanyahu Exit Odds to 68%
Traders give Netanyahu 68% odds of being out by mid-2027 and 44.5% by year-end, after Israel's president tasked Eisenkot with forming a government. The post Israel Pick Sends Netanyahu Exit Odds to 68% appeared first on The Rio Times .
Polymarket, a crypto-based trading platform, shows that there is a 68% chance that Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will lose his position within eight months. The contract for Netanyahu's exit by 30 June 2027 jumped 26 points in a week to 44.5%, after President Isaac Herzog announced that Gadi Eisenkot, a former army chief and Netanyahu's main rival, would receive the first try at forming a government.
The market, which has drawn about US$125 million in bets since it opened, shows a range of opinions, with Netanyahu at 18.6% and Avigdor Lieberman, leader of the Yisrael Beytenu party, at 6.6%. Israel's next government will play a crucial role in shaping Washington's talks on Gaza and Iran.
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