NPP projected to gain 10 seats as NDC faces losses – Global Info Analytics

The New Patriotic Party (NPP) could see a 10-seat increase in parliamentary representation if elections were held today, while the ruling National Democratic Congress (NDC) is expected to lose 32 seats, according to Global Info Analytics. Executive Director Mussa Dankwah revealed this analysis on Current Agenda: Your Voice, Your Power on November 7, 2026.

Dankwah explained that these projections were derived from up-to-date polling data and constituency-level assessments. He projected the NPP could secure 97 seats, with the NDC retaining 153 seats, though with a considerable reduction in overall parliamentary strength. Dankwah clarified that the model integrated national polling trends with specific constituency data to predict potential party seat changes more accurately than typical polling methods in other countries.

He emphasized that the projections are for the 2028 election scenario, not the actual 2028 election results. Dankwah noted the model is adaptable and would evolve with new constituency-level data. He also mentioned several seats remained uncertain due to respondents not disclosing preferences or tight contests. The projections indicate the NDC could maintain a parliamentary majority but might struggle to replicate the dominance it achieved in the 2024 general election.

Dankwah advised political parties to identify weakness early and concentrate efforts on constituencies where changes in candidate selection or party performance could impact election outcomes.