US adds 165,000 jobs in October, unemployment rate dips to 4.1%

In October, US employment surged by 165,000 jobs, significantly surpassing analysts' forecasts, according to government data released on Friday. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, a more favorable figure than the previously expected 4.2%. The US economy's labor market demonstrated resilience, allowing the Federal Reserve to prioritize tackling high inflation, rather than expanding employment opportunities.

This strong October data may increase the likelihood of further interest rate hikes, placing the Fed in conflict with President Donald Trump who has advocated for lower borrowing costs.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics revised upward job figures for August and September by a combined 84,000 positions. This adjustment indicated that the United States' largest economy added 60,000 jobs in September, instead of the initially reported 29,000. Ger Doyle, North America regional president at staffing firm ManpowerGroup, remarked on the momentum in the labor market, acknowledging that demand is increasing in some sectors, but more widespread hiring growth is needed to confirm a broader recovery.

October's employment growth was substantially higher than the average monthly increase of 48,000 over the previous year. Key drivers behind the job gains included professional and business services, which added 70,000 positions, and health care, which contributed 42,000 new jobs. These sectors have supported the US labor market over the past year due to an aging population necessitating more care in hospitals and at home.

Transportation and warehousing experienced a 25,000 job increase, predominantly among couriers and messengers, while manufacturing added 19,000 jobs. Other major sectors, such as construction, retail, financial activities, and government, saw minimal changes in employment. Average hourly earnings for all employees rose by 3.1% over the past year, but wages continue to lag behind persistent high inflation, leading to real wage losses for most workers.

The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates aims to curb inflation, yet it may also suppress economic activity, potentially impacting the job market.