Against All Likelihood
Maximum likelihood is the dominant training principle for large language models, yet likelihood is neither necessary nor sufficient for truth. Unlikely events happen every day, and frequently repeated statements can be false. Drawing on a philosophical tradition that ties objectivity to invariance rather than probability (from Nozick's account of objective facts and Wigner's principles of…
We haven't written up this one. arXiv cs.AI has the full story — the link below goes straight to it.