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Brent Crude Oil Falls Below $94 As US Midterm Results Raise Hopes Of Iran War De-Escalation

Global crude oil prices extended their decline for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday, with Brent slipping below $94 a barrel as investors assessed the implications of Democratic gains in the US midterm elections for the Iran war. Brent crude dropped 0.93% to $93.74 a barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) declined 1.50% to $86.80. Both benchmarks had fallen more than 8% in the…

Brent Crude Oil Falls Below $94 As US Midterm Results Raise Hopes Of Iran War De-Escalation

Crude oil prices fell below $94 a barrel on Thursday, as investors considered the impact of Democratic triumphs in the US midterm elections on potential de-escalation of the Iran conflict. Brent crude oil dipped 0.93% to $93.74, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) slipped 1.50% to $86.80. Both measurements had plummeted more than 8% the previous day, hitting their lowest levels since August 31.

Oil prices have slipped around 16% this week due to reassessment of geopolitical risks. The Democrats' landslide win in both chambers of Congress has increased anticipation that President Donald Trump might face greater limitations on further military action against Iran. Consequently, traders perceive a higher likelihood of a negotiated resolution.

According to a Reuters report, a full-scale attack on Iran now appears less probable. Donald Trump assured the Financial Times that Washington had no immediate intentions to strike Iran. Vice President Kamala Harris also doubted the war's worth, distancing herself from the decision to enter the conflict and linking it to Republican electoral setbacks.

Qatar has stepped up diplomatic endeavors to avert further escalation. Despite the efforts, Washington and Tehran are still far from reaching an agreement. The prospect of a diplomatic settlement has bolstered hopes that disrupted Middle Eastern crude supplies could rebound further. Shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital pathway for Gulf oil exports, have already returned to near pre-war levels, although transportation costs remain high.

JPMorgan estimates that recovering Gulf production and exports have repositioned the global oil market into surplus. The bank calculated an excess supply of about 1.1 million barrels per day in September, rising to 1.4 million barrels per day in October. Enhanced supply conditions, coupled with expectations of reduced geopolitical tensions, have fueled the latest decline in international crude prices.

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