Will US midterm results lead to disruption in Washington’s ties with China?

The United States' upcoming midterm elections are unlikely to cause significant disruption to relations between China and Washington, according to a prominent Chinese expert on US studies. Chen Dongxiao, president of the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies, told The Paper that any changes to the composition of the US Congress would mainly affect President Donald Trump's domestic agenda, leaving foreign policy relatively unaffected.

While Democrats are projected to gain control of the House, the outcome in the Senate remains uncertain. Even if Democrats secure both chambers, their primary focus is likely to be on curbing Trump's executive power rather than altering China policy. Chen noted that both parties share common ground on China strategy, reducing the likelihood of a complete reversal of the existing framework.

However, on specific issues like arms sales to Taiwan, lawmakers from both parties may pressure Trump to take action. Despite this, Chen stated that Trump could still maintain stable relations with China as long as his energy is not fully consumed by domestic political investigations and Congress does not prioritize China policy over other issues.

Beijing views Taiwan as an integral part of China and would consider forceful reunification if necessary. The US, however, opposes any military action against Taiwan and has pledged to provide the island with military support.