Should You Buy Alphabet Stock After Anthropic Raised Its Google Commitment to $121 Billion?
The Claude maker just raised its minimum spending commitment to Google. Can it pay?
Anthropic, the artificial intelligence company known for its Claude AI, recently updated its IPO filing to include its third-quarter results. The company reported having $95.6 billion in cash and short-term investments, totaling around $132 billion, which is close to its total at the end of June. Anthropic has also committed to spending at least $121.3 billion with Google between April 2026 and July 2033, regardless of its usage. Alphabet shares were trading near $283 per share at the time of writing.
Google Cloud's revenue backlog, which represents contracted revenue not yet recognized, reached $560.8 billion as of Sept. 30. This is an increase from $513.9 billion three months earlier and $157.7 billion a year prior. However, growth in cloud revenue has slowed, with a third-quarter increase of $47 billion, compared to $52 billion in the previous quarter.
The $121.3 billion commitment from Anthropic represents around 22% of Google Cloud's backlog. Anthropic estimates it could spend an additional $125 billion to $150 billion on Google's custom AI chips, although some of this amount might be provided by third-party providers. For the next year, Anthropic's cash and investments cover almost twice the amount due.
While Anthropic's commitment is a significant portion of Google Cloud's revenue, it is not the entirety of the company's business. Google Cloud's third-quarter revenue grew by 103% year-over-year to $30.7 billion, which is roughly equivalent to $123 billion per year. This places the minimum commitment at around 13% of Google Cloud's current sales, a substantial but not overwhelming amount.
In conclusion, although the amended filing introduces a new factor to consider, Alphabet stock remains an attractive option at its current price. The $121.3 billion commitment represents solid revenue in the near term, while the later years present a bet on Anthropic's growth potential.
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