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Context--Answer Metamodels: Forecasting LLM Activations Before the First Answer Token

Under stochastic decoding, a single context can elicit many different answers from a language model. Characterizing this variation typically requires many expensive autoregressive rollouts, each revealing only one realization. We ask whether the activations produced while reading the context can directly forecast the model's rollout activations. We train context--answer metamodels that map a…

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Conservative group issues warning on AI

Republicans need a major recalibration on the issue ahead of the next presidential election, a post-midterms memo from the conservative AI policy group Alliance for a Better Future argues.

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