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96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model

Recently updated election models from Harvard University forecast a strong chance of Democrats winning a majority of seats in the House and the Senate in the midterm elections. The chances of Democrats taking the House is as good as 96 percent, the Harvard model forecasts. According to the model, the chances of Republicans winning the...

96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model

In a series of final rallies before Election Day, the candidates for Texas' Senate seat expressed optimism about one of the most closely contested races of 2026. Republican Ken Paxton noted that most polls show the race coming down to the wire and accused Democrat James Talarico of being a tax-and-spend progressive. Talarico, in turn, predicted that his campaign would "shock the nation" and criticized Paxton for embodying a corrupt system.

Hamilton, the Democratic candidate from Kansas, acknowledged that his bid to represent the state in the Senate requires a historic decision from voters, as it would be the first time a Democrat is elected to the Senate from Kansas. He emphasized the need for bipartisan cooperation and focused on issues such as the cost of living, healthcare, and morality.

Meanwhile, President Trump wrapped up his campaign appearances, urging voters to prevent "extremists" from gaining power, while Alaska's Senate race drew attention due to the presence of a candidate with a name similar to the sitting Republican senator.

Written by urgent.news from CBS News's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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