Urgent.News

What's breaking now, across thousands of outlets.

More in Finance & Markets

Midterm Polls, Prediction Markets Ride 'Blue Wave' to Death or Glory

Two Ps in a pod: the consensus means both are right or wrong. On November 3, they'll both face a major credibility test.

  • Democrats predicted to lead in Congress by 8.2 points
  • Prediction markets favor Democrats 69%-72% for Senate, 92%-94% for House
  • Polls and markets derived from each other, with past accuracy concerns

More from Sunday 1 November →