Negotiators ‘braced for worst’ over US-Iran talks to reopen strait of Hormuz

Attacks on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz may be more frequent than official records indicate, according to the head of the UN's maritime agency. Since the onset of the US-Iran conflict in late February, at least 123 vessels have been targeted in the region and surrounding waters, as reported by the International Maritime Organisation (IMO).

However, IMO chief Arsenio Dominguez indicated that the actual number could be higher, as some ships may not declare attacks due to using false flags or fraudulent registrations. Additionally, the lack of Automatic Identification System (AIS) activation and "ghosting" techniques may contribute to the underreporting of incidents.

Dominguez noted that discrepancies arise when ships are attacked, as nearby countries often come to their aid, providing corroborating information. He could not confirm reports that mines allegedly placed by Iran in the channel have been cleared, emphasizing that there is no assurance of a mine-free region. Consequently, US Central Command leader Admiral Brad Cooper has advised ships to avoid the Strait of Hormuz altogether.

The number of stranded vessels in the Arabian Gulf is estimated at 350 to 400 since the conflict began. Renewed hostilities in the Red Sea, following Houthi attacks on Saudi-linked ships, have further exacerbated piracy concerns in the region. In October, attacks on commercial vessels in and around the Strait of Hormuz reached their highest monthly level since the US-Iran war commenced, with over 30 incidents reported by the UK Maritime Trade Operations.

Despite the warnings from the IMO, an estimated 12 ships daily continue to navigate the Strait of Hormuz. Shipping insiders reveal that registered ships generally follow the coast of Oman, while shadow fleets prefer the Iranian coastline. Iran has proposed a voluntary contribution system for ships to cross the channel, similar to the fee in the Strait of Malacca to counter piracy.

While the proposal has not been officially endorsed, Dominguez indicated that it could be viable and align with international maritime laws, subject to approval by the IMO's member states.