Sandisk Stock Is Down 45% From Its High. History Suggests This Is What Happens Next.
The stock isn't for the faint of heart.
In February 2025, Sandisk spun off from Western Digital to become an independent company for the second time, after the acquisition of Sandisk by Western Digital in May 2016. Since then, Sandisk has been one of the top performers in the stock market, increasing nearly 3,400% since the spinoff.
However, in recent months, Sandisk's stock has experienced a dramatic decline, dropping 45% from its all-time high reached on June 25, 2025. While this may be concerning for investors who bought the stock near its peak, history suggests that similar volatility is to be expected.
Sandisk is a major beneficiary of the artificial intelligence trend, as the demand for flash memory and storage hardware used in AI infrastructure has surged. This has led to a supply shortage, giving Sandisk significant pricing power. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, Sandisk's revenue jumped 372% year-over-year to $9 billion, with most of the growth coming from higher pricing and increased volumes.
History has shown that Sandisk's stock is highly volatile, with the company experiencing multiple significant drops and surges in stock price over the past year. While trying to time these fluctuations could be risky, the long-term trend suggests that Sandisk could be a good long-term investment for those willing to tolerate the volatility.
Ultimately, Sandisk is a cyclical industry, and its stock will likely cool as the supply of memory hardware catches up to demand. Investors should keep this in mind and avoid reacting to short-term price swings to make more informed long-term investment decisions.
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