How the latest interest rate hike could affect everyday Canadians

The Bank of Canada increased its benchmark interest rate for the first time in over three years on Wednesday, aiming to anticipate future price hikes. The move affects Canadians, particularly those with variable rate mortgages or lines of credit, who could face an additional $500 in annual interest costs, according to Lara Stilin, chief financial officer at Your Neighbourhood Credit Union.

While the recent increase is less severe than the series of hikes during the COVID-19 pandemic, experts warn that those struggling with rising inflation will feel the most immediate impact. Inflation rose to 3.1 per cent in September, largely due to high gas prices, and the Bank of Canada forecasts annual inflation to reach 3.5 per cent by year-end before easing to around two per cent by mid-2028.

Food prices are expected to increase by approximately four per cent in 2027, up about half a percentage point from this year. Kristy Rachkowski, chief member experience officer at YNCU, expressed concern for households that have already cut back on dining out, delayed major purchases, and exhausted their savings, as another rate hike leaves them with little room to maneuver.

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated that inflation may prove more persistent than anticipated, making the rate hike a prudent decision. He cautioned that future hikes cannot be ruled out, stating that the central bank will assess each meeting's economic conditions individually. Charles St-Arnaud, chief economist at Servus Credit Union, anticipates back-to-back rate hikes to reach a policy rate of 2.75 per cent by year-end, noting that only a weakening economy or softer inflation will prevent further increases.