Gachagua: Nairobi is a one-term zone

Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua has declared that Nairobi is a "one-term" political zone for leaders linked to President William Ruto, predicting that the president's allies will struggle to win seats in the capital during the 2027 General Election. Speaking on television on October 28, 2026, Gachagua argued that the political support Ruto received from Nairobi during the 2022 elections has shifted, citing his own political bloc as a significant contributor to Ruto's previous performance in the city.

Gachagua claimed that any leader aligning with Ruto would not be elected in Nairobi, stating that the president's votes in the last election were largely from his own political network. He dismissed the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) as a weakened party, attributing its decline to the loss of support from Wiper, a strong electoral base in Nairobi.

Gachagua praised the Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP), Wiper, and other United Opposition parties as having stronger positions in Nairobi. He also commented on possible political bids involving Raila Odinga Junior and Winnie Odinga, suggesting that Odinga Junior might have a chance of winning a seat in Nairobi but would be hurt by associating with Ruto.

Winnie Odinga's prospects, however, would depend on her political alliance, potentially doing better outside an arrangement involving Ruto.