BoC warns of ‘subdued’ outlook for housing market as rate hike raises borrowing costs

The Bank of Canada announced a quarter-point interest rate hike on Wednesday, the first increase in over three years. The central bank attributed this decision to inflation driven by the Middle East conflict. Homebuyers are expected to face higher borrowing costs as a result. Inflation in shelter services is projected to rise from just over one percent at the end of 2026 to around two percent in 2027, remaining near that level in 2028.

The real estate sector is grappling with rising construction material prices and affordability constraints due to this tightening monetary policy. Royal LePage president Phil Soper questioned whether the central bank's rate increase is a temporary adjustment or the beginning of a sustained tightening cycle, warning that higher borrowing costs will exacerbate the sector's economic challenges.