Unternehmen: Allianz-Prognose: Insolvenzen bleiben 2027 auf hohem Niveau
Mehr und mehr Unternehmen werden zu Sanierungsfällen. Der Kreditversicherer Allianz Trade rechnet dieses und nächstes Jahr mit nahezu je 26.000 Fällen. Allerdings bahnt sich eine Trendumkehr an.
Allianz Trade, the German credit insurer, predicts that the number of corporate insolvencies in Germany will remain high in 2027, estimating 25,900 cases for both this year and next. This forecast is based on factors including the ongoing Iran war, weak economic conditions, a shortage of skilled workers, and high operational costs faced by businesses.
Milo Bogaerts, Allianz Trade's Germany chief, said there is no sign of a slowdown next year, citing the impact on sectors like transport, construction, hospitality, automotive, and machinery.
The number of corporate insolvencies in Germany has been steadily increasing over recent years, with 24,064 cases reported last year. This follows a trend of rising numbers, with 21,812 cases in 2021 and 17,814 in 2019. In the first half of 2023 alone, the Statistisches Bundesamt recorded 12,812 corporate insolvencies, representing a 6.7% increase compared to the previous year. Allianz Trade predicts an eight percent increase in total insolvency cases for 2023.
Recent examples of high-profile insolvencies include Galeria Kaufhof, the discount retailer Kodi, and battery manufacturer Varta. Allianz Trade expects a five percent decrease in corporate insolvencies in Germany in 2028, projecting 24,600 cases. The insurer attributes this decline to the effectiveness of government stimulus measures aimed at boosting the economy.
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