Election forecasters lack historical data on how national mood drives each senate race, study shows
U.S. Senate races are increasingly decided by national forces rather than state-level politics or incumbency advantage. That makes election forecasts less certain than they appear, according to a new study in PS: Political Science & Politics by researchers at the University of California, Davis, and George Mason University.
We haven't written up this one. Phys.org has the full story — the link below goes straight to it.
