A pivotal election in Israel, and Netanyahu’s next test

The recent Israeli legislative election holds significant importance as it marks the country's first vote since the 7 October attacks in 2023. Incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, representing the right-wing Likud party, has long been the dominant political figure in Israel, and a win would reaffirm his strong backing from constituents, especially after three years of conflict.

However, a loss could pose challenges for Netanyahu, as his main rivals include former military chief Gadi Eisenkot, whose two sons were killed in combat. Eisenkot's party, Yashar, has garnered support by promising to end "eternal war" and avoiding a two-state solution with Iran, arguing that Netanyahu's policies are unpalatable to many voters.

International observers, such as Yossi Mekelberg from Chatham House, believe that an opposition-led government could bring about meaningful change, particularly through a state commission into the 7 October attacks. However, the EU, while maintaining a trade agreement with Israel, faces pressure to address Israel's occupation of Palestinian territories, as highlighted by Amnesty International.

The EU's relationship with Israel remains strained, with differences between EU diplomats and Israeli counterparts, but some hope remains for improved relations with the new administration.

As the election unfolds, US President Donald Trump's political influence remains a topic of speculation, with rumors circulating about his potential endorsement of Viktor Orbán for the United Nations' secretary-general position. Meanwhile, NATO allies, including France, Germany, Italy, Poland, and the United Kingdom, are intensifying their support for Ukraine amid the ongoing war, focusing on air and missile defense systems.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has expressed frustration over the delayed delivery of Patriot missiles and other requested aid.