“Paralysed” housing market faces a 20% decline
Australia’s housing market is facing its largest price correction in living memory. Cotality’s daily dwelling values index has plummeted by 7.6% since early April across the five major capital cities, led by Sydney, where values have fallen by 9.8%. Values continue to fall at a furious pace, down 4.2% over the past quarter: At this The post “Paralysed” housing market faces a 20% decline appeared…
Australia's housing market is currently experiencing its most significant price correction in recent memory, with values plummeting across major cities. Sydney has seen the steepest decline, falling by 9.8% in early April, leading analysts to predict a 20% drop from peak values by New Year's Eve. Cotality's daily dwelling values index has dropped by 7.6% over this period, with the decline accelerating to 4.2% over the past quarter.
HSBC's chief economist Paul Bloxham forecasts a 13% peak-to-trough decline for capital city dwelling values, while ANZ Bank predicts an even sharper 13.5% drop across the nation's capitals, with Sydney, Adelaide, and Brisbane expected to plummet by more than 15%. The combination of rising interest rates, global uncertainty, and tax policy changes has dampened sentiment in the market.
Clearance rates have been below 50% since May 2026, and indicators suggest demand is weak. The poor auction results over the weekend have further eroded market confidence, with Cotality's national auction clearance rate falling to just 48.4%. Leading Sydney auctioneer Tom Panos warns that Sydney's market could be the weakest recorded this year, with a potential 20% decline in prices.
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