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Can we really predict the future? Over one million forecasts offer clues, not certainty

Can crowds of people trading on what they believe will happen collectively predict the future? A new Tel Aviv University study of more than 1 million forecasts suggests that they often come remarkably close. But when it comes to certain events, from international conflicts to elections, the odds may tell a different story.

Can we really predict the future? Over one million forecasts offer clues, not certainty

We haven't written up this one. Phys.org has the full story — the link below goes straight to it.

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