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Modeling and Detecting Downward Causation in Disease Transmission

We compare two epidemic models: the deterministic SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) model and the maximum-entropy-based DyMES (Dynamic Maxent across Entwined Scales) framework. In contrast to the widely used SIR model, the recently proposed DyMES model incorporates both top-down and bottom-up mechanisms and thus can capture local responses to global behavior. We simulate both models in three…

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