Key Market Events for the Week of October 26–30, 2026

Week of October 26-30, 2026: Key Market Events Overview

This week in Latin America, a flurry of economic data and central bank decisions will shape market sentiment. The Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates at 3.75-4.00 percent on Wednesday, with the guidance acting as the primary event impacting global risk appetite. In addition to the Fed, key events include Chile's central bank meeting on Tuesday, Colombia's rate decision on Friday, and Brazil's presidential runoff vote on the 25th, which will drive open prices for the following Monday.

Brazil's economic calendar is dominated by jobs and growth data, with the formal employment figures expected on Thursday and the unemployment rate released on Friday. Additionally, Mexico's third-quarter GDP estimate is due on Friday and is expected to be around 1.7 percent, according to consensus. Colombia will also publish its unemployment rate and central bank decision on Friday, as the country's central bank raised rates by 0.25 percentage points to 12.25 percent on September 30.

On Sunday, October 25, prediction markets priced a Flávio Bolsonaro win in Brazil's presidential runoff at 80.0 percent and Lula at 19.5 percent. Kalshi, regulated under US authorities, priced the same candidates at 81.0 percent and 20.0 percent, respectively. The data shows how real-money bets are used to gauge real-time probabilities and influence trading decisions while waiting for official results.

As the week unfolds, the Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank, and Bank of Japan will all meet, affecting Latin American currencies and bonds. The Federal Reserve's decision will set the tone for the dollar and the currencies of the region. Chile and Colombia's central bank decisions, along with Brazil's jobs data, will provide crucial insights into domestic demand and the health of the local economies.