Milei in dead heat with Peronism, one year out from election, polls show
One year out from polling day, surveys point to a tight race, polarised electorate, significant group of undecided voters and appetite for a ‘third way’ candidate. Leer más
Argentina's presidential race one year before the vote is neck and neck between President Javier Milei and the Peronist coalition, according to recent polls. Both candidates are locked in a tight contest, with each polling around 32 percent support. The polls suggest that a second round of voting is likely, setting the stage for a showdown between the libertarian-leaning Milei and the traditional Peronist front.
Survey data, collected by firms such as Proyección Consultores, Analogías, QSocial/QMonitor, Zentrix, and the University of San Andrés, show a close race with the margin of error. Milei's personal popularity edges him out slightly when compared to the Peronist coalition, while Peronism fares better when viewed as a collective. Many voters remain undecided, with polling data indicating that about 26 percent are unsure or would cast blank ballots.
Economic challenges, including stagnant growth projections, rising unemployment, and stagnant wages, have impacted Milei's popularity. A September survey by AtlasIntel showed that while 38.5 percent of respondents approved of Milei's administration, disapproval reached 57.2 percent. However, Milei is not the only one facing a negative image; most listed politicians had unfavorable ratings, with only a few scoring positively. This political landscape could be ripe for a third-party candidate to emerge.
Written by urgent.news from Buenos Aires Times's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
